Unlike solar and wind, green hydrogen lacks demand-side policy support like RPOs. What’s holding back the rollout of similar obligations or incentives to create assured offtake?
Under the National Green Hydrogen Mission, a demand of 7,24,000 TPA (tonnes per annum) of green ammonia has been identified, intended for supply to 13 fertiliser units, making it the largest green ammonia tender globally. Additionally, 2,00,000 TPA of green hydrogen production capacity has been earmarked to cater to requirements in the refinery sector. This approach effectively serves as a demand-side policy support mechanism, akin to Renewable Purchase Obligations (RPOs), aimed at ensuring sustained market development and adoption.
Adopting a mandatory approach through purchase obligations (HPO) would not be a prudent step at early stage, considering the evolving nature of the green hydrogen value chain. In the initial projects, technology assessment and economic viability need to be stabilised to offer a mature ecosystem that can provide confidence to suppliers as well as the purchasers to implement such obligations. Therefore, the government’s approach of identifying selected entities for demand creation, such as fertiliser units and refineries, would result in more effective stimulation for promoting green hydrogen adoption.
In addition, a few international programmes such as MBM (Market-Based Measures) by the IMO (International Maritime Organisation) and CORSIA (Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation) by ICAO (International Civil Aviation Organisation) will create global demand for green hydrogen derivatives. Indian companies will get a good opportunity to leverage these initiatives for securing international offtakes.
With thermal power generating over 70% of electricity despite being less than half of installed capacity, how is the government addressing this imbalance to enable a smoother low-carbon transition?
The Indian government is actively working to increase the share of non-fossil-based electricity in the national grid. The installation of more than 50% non-fossil capacity is significant in the overall power generation capacity mix, as investor confidence is growing for non-fossil projects despite their intermittent nature. With electricity demand expected to grow at a rate of 8–10% over the next two decades, the non-fossil share of electricity will continue to rise and is expected to exceed 50% during the next decade. The need for thermal-based electricity will remain essential to meet demand during non-renewable energy (non-RE) hours. This can effectively address the imbalance between thermal power generation and installed renewable capacity through a multi-pronged strategy aimed at accelerating the low-carbon energy transition.
Grid stability is key to reducing thermal generation and meeting renewable targets. How is the government addressing this critical need?
To address the critical need for grid stability amid rising renewable energy integration and to reduce reliance on thermal generation, the Indian government is implementing several strategic initiatives:
a. Massive Grid Expansion
India plans to invest in grid infrastructure by 2030 to support its 500 GW renewable energy target.
This includes expanding transmission lines, substations, and smart grid technologies to handle variable solar and wind energy inputs.
b. Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS)
c. Strengthening Interstate Transmission System (ISTS) and InSTS
d. Regulatory & Market Reforms
The government is promoting open access, green energy corridors, and corporate Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) to attract private investment and improve grid flexibility.
Efforts are also underway to improve the financial health of DISCOMs (distribution companies).
e. Geographic Balancing
The Ministry of Power has already issued mandatory guidelines in February 2025 requiring energy storage integration in solar tenders. All renewable energy implementing agencies and state utilities must incorporate a minimum of two-hour co-located energy storage systems (ESS), equivalent to 10% of the installed solar project capacity, in future solar tenders.